Floyd Central
Boys - Girls
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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State Rank #45
Brown County Semi-State Rank #6
Crawford County Regional Rank #2
Crawford County Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 31.7%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
127  Alec Heitz 12 16:42
174  Luke Uhl 12 16:51
252  Chad Lawrence 12 17:04
Grant Vellinger 12 17:45
Billy Pierce 10 17:54
Sam Owings 10 18:13
Tony Murphy 11 18:17
Delano Gideons 9 19:06
Matt Stepp 10 19:11
DateRace Rating
08/23 Bulldog Classic 487
08/30 St. Xavier Tiger Run 425
09/13 Eagle Classic 593
09/20 Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational 469
09/20 Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational (JV)
09/27 Ted Fox Invitational 651
10/04 Hoosier Hills Conference 640
10/11 Crawford County Sectional 582
10/18 Crawford County Regional 544
10/25 Brown County Semi-State 519




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 31.7% 21.9 532 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.6 3.0 4.2 5.6 7.4 7.8
Semi-State 100% 7.4 256 0.9 8.6 22.2 23.2 21.3 13.8 5.7 2.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.7 75 8.3 28.5 49.2 13.9 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.9 50 12.1 87.9 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Heitz 42.8% 94.0 0.0 16.2% 29.1%
Luke Uhl 32.9% 111.7 1.7% 7.9%
Chad Lawrence 31.8% 136.7 0.0% 0.6%
Grant Vellinger 31.7% 188.5 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Pierce 31.7% 194.9 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Owings 31.7% 203.0 0.0% 0.0%
Tony Murphy 31.7% 204.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Heitz 100% 29.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.6 3.6 3.7 4.2 100.0%
Luke Uhl 100% 40.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.7 100.0%
Chad Lawrence 100% 56.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 99.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Heitz 100% 6.9 0.1 5.1 9.4 12.2 12.3 12.6 11.3 10.6 9.4 7.0 5.0 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Luke Uhl 100% 10.0 0.5 1.9 3.6 5.3 7.6 9.0 10.6 11.3 12.4 11.9 11.0 7.3 4.2 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Chad Lawrence 100% 13.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.9 4.7 6.8 9.0 12.8 15.7 15.8 11.3 7.3 4.1 2.5 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Heitz 3.5 0.1 32.5 33.5 18.4 11.0 3.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
Luke Uhl 5.1 0.0 4.5 16.4 27.9 22.2 21.0 6.0 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Chad Lawrence 7.3 0.1 0.9 4.8 14.3 20.1 36.7 14.1 5.5 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0